The Cook Islands—Climate Risk Profile
The likelihood components of climate-related risks in the Cook Islands are evaluated, for both present-day and future conditions. Changes into the future reflect the influence of global warming. The risk events for which the current and future likelihoods are evaluated are extreme rainfall events, drought, high sea levels, strong winds, and extreme high air temperatures. Tropical cyclone frequencies over the past century are also examined. Some climate-related human health and infrastructure risks are also investigated. Projections of future climate-related risk are based on the output of global climate models. All the likelihood components of projected climate-related risk show marked increases as a result of global warming.