Climate volatility and poverty vulnerability in Tanzania

Author(s):
Syud Amer Ahmed, Noah S. Diffenbaugh, Thomas W. Hertel, David B. Lobell, Navin Ramankutty, Ana R. Rios, Pedram Rowhani
Year:
2009
Summary:

Climate models generally indicate that climate volatility may rise in the future, severely affecting agricultural productivity through greater frequency of yield-diminishing climate extremes, such as droughts. For Tanzania, where agricultural production is sensitive to climate, changes in climate volatility could have significant implications for poverty. This study assesses the vulnerability of Tanzania’s population to poverty to changes in climate variability between the late 20th century and early this century.

Resilient adaptation to climate change in African agriculture

Author(s):
Chinwe Ifejika Speranza
Year:
2010
Editor:
Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik
City:
Bonn
Publisher:
German Development Centre
Pages:
336
Summary:

This study explores strategies for effectively adapting small-scale agriculture to climate change in Sub-Saharan Africa. The authors provide background information on the region's agriculture and climate, an overview of adaptation analysis tools and policy frameworks.

Economywide Impacts of Climate Change on Agriculture in Sub-Saharan Africa

Summary:

Discussion Paper No. 873

Economywide Impacts of Climate Change on Agriculture in Sub-Saharan Africa

Alvaro Calzadilla, Tingju Zhu, Katrin Rehdanz, Richard S.J. Tol, and Claudia Ringler

July 2009

Abstract

Two possible adaptation options to climate change for Sub-Saharan Africa are analyzed under the SRES B2 scenario. The first scenario doubles the irrigated area in Sub-Saharan Africa by 2050, compared to the baseline, but keeps total crop area constant.

ADAPT

Summary:
Background

This computer-based tool is multi-sectoral and currently being tested in South Asia, soon expanding to a focus on Sub-Saharan Africa. The tool undertakes a sensitivity analysis for specific projects and flags activities that are sensitive to climate change as well as gives advice on adaptation activities. The tool utilises project location and activity information which are screened through a project activity sensitivity matrix based on GCM data. The tool does not utilise specific vulnerability data or adaptation at the sectoral.